This will probably will be a somewhat controversial

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This will probably will be a somewhat controversial

Mensajepor liny195 » Lun May 27, 2019 10:04 am

article as I know there are still mixed feelings on Osuna Michael Lorenzen Jersey , but it warrants a discussion to me. I’m asking us to stay strictly to the baseball..."This will probably will be a somewhat controversial article as I know there are still mixed feelings on Osuna, but it warrants a discussion to me. I’m asking us to stay strictly to the baseball side of the equation for this discussion as the other side has been discussed ad nauseam.Last year, in a controversial move, the Astros acquired Roberto Osuna. What was surprising, is that the 2018 season was a “down” season for Osuna, with some wondering if he had lost a step and should still be considered the closer, although he continued to improve as the season went by.Now for some clarification, for most relievers in baseball, a 21 save season with a 2.37 ERA could be a career best. But there was a notable drop in strikeout rate from a career K/9 of almost 10 to 7.58, makes people wonder if something was off, or if he was just rusty and distracted. Then the clock struck 2019. Now it’s an extremely small sample size, all of 8.1 IP so far this season, so there’s a huge grain of salt that goes into this evaluation, but he has simply been dominant enough to warrant a second look. He’s currently converted all 19 save opportunities in the regular season since joining the Astros. His K/9 has jumped back to 9.72, and while he has always had excellent control (1.52 BB/9 for his career), he has yet to walk someone this year. His current ERA is a sparkling 1.08, his WHIP? A ridiculous 0.24 (0 walks and only 2 hits through his first 9 appearances).On the good side, his fastball has regained a tick in velocity, throwing the hardest he has since 2016. It’s easy to forget that Osuna is only 24 years old. He’s the youngest player on our team edging out Carlos Correa by abouta half a year. There’s a strong possibility that Osuna has not hit his peak yet.So it’s easy to think , it’s a small sample size and Osuna just got lucky. I mean his BABIP is .111, which is generally indicative of pure luck. Which could very well be true, but some of the advanced stats seem to support his utter dominance. Utter dominanceBaseball Savant / StatcastFor those of you who don’t frequent baseball savant, they have a simple slider at the top which gives you a quick glimpse at how the player is performing. The further to the right and the darker the red, the better the player is doing (or blue for poor performance). Doing a quick look, obviously, Osuna looks dominant. But when you look closer, he gets even better. K%? He’s in the top 11% of the leagueExit Velocity? Top 20% of the leagueHard Hit %? Top 1% of the leaguexBA? Top 1% of the leaguexSLUG? Top 1% of the leaguexwOBA? The best in baseballI’m a huge fan of xwOBA. For those who aren’t familiar, xwOBA looks at the launch angle, exit velocity, sprint speed etc of every ball that was hit and based on a percentage of plays that were made at that same type of contact assigns a value to it. It removes the “luck” of a diving play or jump over the fence that saves runs, or the silly non-error that bounced between a players legs to give a more realistic view of the contribution of the player while removing the luck factor. They normalize xwOBA to look like OPS - so when you’re looking at the results,For more info, here’s the full description and the why it’s useful: xwOBA is more indicative of a player’s skill than regular wOBA, as xwOBA removes defense from the equation. Hitters, and likewise pitchers, are able to influence exit velocity and launch angle but have no control over what happens to a batted ball once it is put into play.Based on the contact so far, Baseball Savant would expect a .117/.117/.162 line against Osuna for a .121 xwOBA And xwOBA say that so far, he has been the absolute best in all of baseball. Pitching was the story on Opening Day Scott Feldman Jersey , and Friday’s starters will look to replicate their predecessors."WhiteFanposts Fanshots Sections Detroit Tigers AnalysisDetroit Tigers Prospect NotebookDetroit Tigers Game ThreadsDetroit Tigers NewsDetroit Tigers PodcastsDetroit Tigers PreviewsTigers vs. Blue Jays Preview: Matthew Boyd gets the nod as the No. 2 starterNew,16commentsPitching was the story on Opening Day, and Friday’s starters will look to replicate their predecessors.EDTShareTweetShareShareTigers vs. Blue Jays Preview: Matthew Boyd gets the nod as the No. 2 starterKim Klement-USA TODAY SportsIt always feels good to start with a win. The 2019 Detroit Tigers are unlikely to crash any sort of playoff race, but if the team wants to have any sort of playoff hope it needs to start off the season well. Carrying a perfect game into the seventh inning and winning on a homer in extra innings is just about as good of a start as the Tigers could have wanted.The key players on Opening Day were a mix of both old and new. Jordan Zimmermann posted perhaps his best start ever in a Tigers uniform, allowing just one infield hit over seven scoreless innings. Meanwhile, youngster Christin Stewart was the hero, launching a two-run bomb in the top of the 10th to drive home the game’s only runs. For there to be any hope of competing, everyone will have to contribute across the roster.That includes Game 2 starter Matthew Boyd, who is perhaps the most intriguing pitcher in the rotation. Boyd had a modest 4.39 ERA in 31 starts last season, but he was more impressive than the raw numbers may indicate. At 28 years old, and as a host of touted prospects rising through the system, 2019 could be a key year for Boyd and his future with the Tigers. He took plenty of steps forward in his fullest season to date, but he is still far from certain as a long-term piece of the roster.Detroit Tigers (1-0) at Toronto Blue Jays (0-1)Time/Place: 7:07 p.m., Rogers CentreSB Nation site: Bluebird BanterMedia: Fox Sports Detroit, MLB.TV, Tigers Radio NetworkPitching Matchup: LHP Matthew Boyd (9-13, 4.39 ERA) vs. RHP Matt Shoemaker (2-2, 4.94 ERA)Game 2 Pitching MatchupPitcherIPK%BB%FIPfWARPitcherIPK%BB%FIPfWARMatt Shoemaker will be making his first start with the Blue Jays after signing a modest one-year, $3.5 million contract over the offseason. He made just seven starts with the Angels last season after undergoing forearm surgery , and his last two seasons in Los Angeles were a struggle in terms of health. The veteran righthander is just a couple years removed from a 3.88 ERA and 3.52 FIP, but that pitcher may no longer exist after all of the injuries.It was definitely not the largest sample size, but Shoemaker impressed with a 25.4 percent strikeout rate at the end of last season, giving hope for some sort of revitalization. His fastball velocity sat above his career average — around 92.0 miles per hour — and he posted his lowest career contact rate at 72.1 percent. The Tigers struck out 15 times on Thursday and might be vulnerable again.Shoemaker’s peripherals were much more favorable than his 4.94 ERA, and while he may not be an ace, he has the potential to be a very serviceable starter even if he never returns to his pre-injury numbers. Maybe it takes a few starts to get into the full groove, but the Michigan native could be a surprise this season to those who have completely forgotten him.Key matchup: Matthew Boyd vs. the roadPart of the discrepancy between Boyd’s numbers and the overall sentiment of his 2018 season was the stark difference between his performance at home and on the road. Both his ERA (2.63 vs. 5.89) and FIP (3.64 vs. 5.14) were dramatically worse away from Comerica Park, undoubtedly impacted by his elevated fly ball rate last season.Boyd’s 49.9 percent fly ball rate in 2018 was 10 percentage points higher than in 2017, and though his home run to fly ball rate decreased slightly overall, it was dramatically higher on the road at 7.0 percent compared to 15.1 percent at home. This is consistent with his career split of 10.4 percent vs. 14.4 percent. In short, Boyd needs to reduce his fly ball rates to find sustained success. Most ballparks are not as forgiving as Comerica, including Rogers Centre, and the more balls fly he gives up on the road, the more home runs he is likely to concede.PredictionBoyd starts out the year on the right foot, giving up just a pair of runs to earn the win.

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